Preparing for exit: A buyer’s market for high-tech assets is here
This article is part of Bain’s 2023 Technology Report.
Technology trading volume has slowed since mid-2022 for a variety of reasons, including rising interest rates that limit the amount of money that can be borrowed and falling asset values as buyers are no longer able to meet sellers’ asking prices. Successful deals rely on higher equity contributions (expected to be refinanced later), partial sale of equity to fund growth, and a higher proportion of add-ons than standalone or platform assets . Overall, the pace of tech deals beyond Q3 2022 remains slow, as does the broader deal market.
Exits are also down, averaging around $20 billion per quarter in the first half of 2023, compared to an average of $107 billion per quarter in the first half of 2021 and $75 billion per quarter in the first half of 2022. From 2018 to 2021, more than $700 billion of high-tech assets were purchased (see Figure 1), and the holding periods of high-tech portfolio companies were lengthened. In 2023, almost half of the tech portfolio companies have been held for more than four years, and 15% have been held for more than six years. For the first time since 2012, more than 40% of the tech portfolio companies have been held for more than four years (see Figure 2). This backlog of long-held portfolio assets is growing faster than the stable pile of dry powder, and increased activity will create a buyer’s market. Stuck in Place: Private Equity Midyear Report 2023”).
Tech-related deals have slowed over the past year, and backlog of deals signals a buyer’s market.
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